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When is the next interest rate hike in Australia? It’s the $64 question for local financial markets1. Our base case remains that the first hike will come in August but there is a chance that it could happen earlier, in June. That’s recently been reinforced by the January jobs data where the unemployment rate came...
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It's a common misperception that the greatest determinant of portfolio return variability is your stock selection. Understandably, choosing which ETFs, individual shares, active funds or other securities to invest in is often the most exciting part of portfolio construction for new investors, and of course it remains an important factor. But as Vanguard research shows,...
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Despite the rough and uncertain start to the year there is reason to be optimistic about the share market in 2022. Economies are recording solid economic growth, profits are rising and monetary policy, notwithstanding increases in interest rates this year, will remain easy. But 2022 is unlikely to replicate last year’s very strong investment returns...
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It’s been a rocky start to the year on world markets but that doesn’t mean you should hit the panic button. Staying the course is generally the best course, but that’s easier said than done when there’s a big market fall. In January markets plunged some 10 per cent but then staged a recovery. That...
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Investment returns are unpredictable. Take last year, for example. Few would have predicted that the price of coffee beans would outperform global share markets. But that’s exactly what happened, thanks to a combination of unforeseen climatic events and the ongoing impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on supply chains around the world. Those factors, combined with...
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The Year of the Tiger is here! If you’re wondering about your chances for money and success, things you do yourself could play a part. The Lunar New Year kicks off on 1 February 2022, as we usher in the Year of the Tiger. Ancient traditions tied to this event are believed to encourage health,...
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What is FIRE? If you’ve ever considered early retirement, you could join the FIRE movement. FIRE stands for “financial independence retire early.” During their working years, FIRE investors invest as much of their income as possible in hopes of attaining financial independence at a young age and maintaining it for the long term—a.k.a. retirement. Their...
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If a big weekend has ever left you penniless until payday, these pointers could be for you. How much cash did I spend last night? How many rounds did I buy? Why did I pay for so-and-so’s Uber when I know they’re never going to pay me back? If this sounds like a familiar scenario,...
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Dr Shane Oliver - Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, AMP Capital Key points Ukraine tensions have escalated with Russia ordering troops into Ukraine regions already occupied by Russian separatists. Share markets are at high risk of more downside on fear of further escalation and uncertainty about sanctions/gas supply to Europe. The history of...
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Two steps forward, one step back For the second year running, the pandemic was the focus for policy makers, markets, businesses, and individuals alike. The year began with hopes that the rollout of vaccines would stem the spread of COVID-19 and allow economies to reopen. Instead, most countries were hit by wave after wave of...
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